Weather Warnings for Texas

Issued by the National Weather Service

Current watches, warnings, and advisories for Texas
Alerts Updated: October 16, 2025, 12:30 am  UTC


Hydrologic Outlook issued October 15 at 4:16PM CDT by NWS Brownsville TX

Summary: ESFBRO The Brownsville Texas National Weather Service Office has implemented Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) for the Los Olmos Creek basin in Deep South Texas. AHPS enables the National Weather Service to provide long-range probabilistic outlooks. This service is also available on the internet. In the table below...the 90 through 10 percent columns indicate the chance the creek could rise above the listed stage levels in the next 90 days. Example: The Los Olmos Creek near Falfurrias has a flood stage of 11 feet. There is a 50 percent chance the Falfurrias forecast point will rise above 1.7 feet during the next 90 days. Chance of Exceeding Stages at Specific Locations Valid [10/15/2025 - 01/13/2026] Location FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% -------- ----- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- Los Olmos Creek Falfurrias 11.0 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.7 5.9 This long-range probabilistic outlook contains numbers that are calculated using multiple scenarios from 50 years of historical climatological and stream flow data. These numbers also take into account current conditions of the creek and soil moisture. By providing the complete range of probabilistic numbers...the level of risk associated with the long-range planning decisions can be determined. Additional supportive data and explanation are available on the internet at: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/long_range.php?wfo=bro Long range probabilistic outlooks are issued around the third Thursday of every month.
Severity:  Unknown    Effective:  October 15, 2025, 4:16 pm      Expires:  October 16, 2025, 4:30 am
Area:  Brooks, TX


Air Quality Alert issued October 15 at 2:20PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX

Summary: AQAFWD The Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) has issued an Ozone Action Day for the Dallas-Fort Worth area for Thursday, October 16, 2025. Atmospheric conditions are expected to be favorable for producing high levels of ozone air pollution in the Dallas-Fort Worth area on Thursday. You can help prevent ozone pollution by sharing a ride, walking, riding a bicycle, taking your lunch to work, avoiding drive-through lanes, conserving energy, and keeping your vehicle properly tuned. For more information on ozone: Ozone: The Facts (www.tceq.texas.gov/goto/ozonefacts) Air North Texas: (www.airnorthtexas.org) EPA Air Now (www.airnow.gov/index.cfm?action.local_state&STATEID=45&TAB=0) Take care of Texas (www.takecareoftexas.org) North Central Texas Council of Governments Air Quality (www.nctcog.org/trans/air/index.asp)
Severity:  Unknown    Effective:  October 15, 2025, 2:20 pm      Expires:  October 16, 2025, 5:30 pm
Area:  Wise; Denton; Collin; Hunt; Parker; Tarrant; Dallas; Rockwall; Kaufman; Hood; Johnson; Ellis; Henderson